Barracas Central and Huracán Meet in a Tight Group B Clash Where a Draw Looks Likeliest

Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia hosts a neighborhood clash with the Group B table packed tight: just 4 points separate Barracas Central from Huracán, even though the Globo arrives sitting several spots higher. On paper it's an even matchup, the kind that tends to come down to small details.

Barracas Central sits eighth in the group with 15 points through 11 matches in Argentina's Primera División (4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 8 goals scored and 9 allowed). The negative goal difference (-1) points to a team that has suffered more than it has enjoyed. Over its last five matches the run has been three straight draws, then a loss, then finally a win, an uneven finish that hasn't quite taken off.

Huracán, meanwhile, sits fourth with 19 points from the same number of matches: 5 wins, 4 draws and only 2 losses, with 11 goals scored and 8 allowed. The recent form backs that up: over its last five matches it has racked up three wins and two draws, with no losses. It arrives with more momentum than its upcoming opponent.

It's also worth looking at how each side performs based on home or away form, though that shouldn't be confused with the overall table record. Playing at home in the 2026 season, Barracas Central averages 1.12 goals scored and 1 allowed per match across a sample of 8 games, with a 25% clean sheet rate; its most productive scoring window is between the 61st and 75th minutes, where Rodrigo Insúa stands out as its top threat with 3 goals in that span, followed by Fernando Tobio with 2. Huracán, on the road and also over 8 matches this same season, shows a tighter profile: 0.76 goals scored and 0.62 allowed per match, with a 50% clean sheet rate and the same favorite scoring window, 61 to 75 minutes. Jordy Caicedo is by far its biggest weapon in that sample, with 8 goals.

The head-to-head record between the two is fairly even: in 8 meetings, Barracas Central has won 3, there have been 4 draws and Huracán has won 1, with a combined 5 goals for the home side and 4 for the away side.

Probable Lineups

For Barracas Central, led by Damián Ayude, the projected XI (medium confidence) would keep Marcelo Miño in goal, a back four of Yonatthan Rak, Nicolás Demartini, Kevin Jappert and Damián Martínez, a midfield of Dardo Miloc, Iván Tapia, Elías Pereyra and Tomás Porra, and Norberto Briasco alongside Facundo Bruera up top.

Huracán, under Diego Martínez, will likely field Hernán Galíndez between the posts, a back line of Máximo Palazzo, Lucas Blondel, César Ibáñez and Fabio Pereyra, a crowded midfield with Rodrigo Fernández Cedrés, Óscar Cortés, Facundo Waller, Facundo Kalinger and Leonardo Gil, and Juan Bisanz leading the line.

What the Numbers Say

Our in-house model, built on this season's trends, paints a very even picture for this match:

A draw looks like the most likely outcome, though only by the slimmest of margins over either team winning: there's no clear favorite here. The expected goals figures back that up too, with 0.84 for Barracas Central and 0.89 for Huracán, a combined 1.74 that points to a low scoring affair. In fact, the probability of more than 2.5 goals is just 31%, and the chance both teams score sits at 38%. This note reflects EnPelotas' own estimate, not a sportsbook line.

With the standings so bunched in the middle of the group, every point matters. Barracas Central needs to shake off its recent inconsistency; Huracán needs to keep its momentum going. The result could shift both teams' standing within Group B.