Frosinone routs Juve Stabia 4-1 in Coppa Italia behind a demolition job in the first half

Frosinone struck early and never let up, cruising to a 4-1 win over Juve Stabia at the Benito Stirpe in a Coppa Italia clash. The home side had the game put away in just 37 minutes thanks to a devastating first half that left the score at 3-0 before the break, and although Juve Stabia pulled one back early in the second half, they were never truly close to threatening the hosts.

A dominant first half

Frosinone came out looking to strike fast and did so in the 19th minute, when Giorgi Kvernadze finished with his right foot from the center of the box after a counterattack started by Farès Ghedjemis. Just nine minutes later, in the 28th, Matteo Cichella doubled the lead with a powerful strike from outside the box that found the top left corner, also set up by Kvernadze. The hosts weren't done there, and in the 37th minute, Antonio Raimondo tapped in the third goal from close range to all but seal the match before halftime.

Juve Stabia had flashed some danger of their own, with Ilario Monterisi hitting the post and the crossbar in a span of just two minutes (9' and 11'), but Frosinone's sharpness in both boxes made the difference.

The visitors' response and the fourth goal

Right at the start of the second half, in the 47th minute, Leonardo Candellone pulled one back for Juve Stabia with a low shot from outside the box that snuck in by the left post, assisted by Nicola Patanè. The goal seemed to give the visitors a lift, and they kept pushing with attempts from Manuel Ricciardi, Nicola Patanè and Thomas Battistella, but couldn't convert. Frosinone, though, struck again at just the right time: in the 70th minute, Giorgi Kvernadze scored his second of the night with a low shot by the left post, assisted by Antonio Raimondo, to make it 4-1.

The closing stretch produced an odd moment: in the 88th minute Saná Fernandes was shown a red card after VAR overturned an earlier red card call, though he ultimately ended up booked with the red anyway, according to the match record.

The numbers behind the home side's dominance

The stats reflect Frosinone's superiority across the full 90 minutes, with more possession, more shots and more clear-cut chances created.

Based on an in-house estimate calculated from the shots taken in the match, Frosinone generated 2.891 expected goals compared to 1.382 for Juve Stabia, a gap that backs up the dominance shown on the scoreboard, though it's worth noting this figure is calculated after the match and isn't a pregame prediction.

What the preview said versus what happened on the field

Before kickoff, our projection gave Frosinone a 63% chance of winning, against 23% for a draw and 14% for a Juve Stabia win, with total expected goals of 2.90, split 2.04 for the hosts and 0.87 for Juve Stabia. The final result, with four goals for Frosinone, exceeded even that favorable forecast, confirming the trend the preview had already flagged, though Candellone's goal gave the final score a closer look than the run of play actually suggested.

Takeaways from the match

Frosinone leaves a strong impression in the Coppa Italia, with an attack that found its standout performer in Giorgi Kvernadze, who scored a goal and provided an assist on top of his brace, backing up with numbers the dominance the preview had already pointed to. Juve Stabia, despite the loss, showed enough attacking spark to create real danger, but it wasn't enough to change the story of a night in which the hosts were the better side from start to finish.