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Serie APublished 2 months ago 3 min read Español

Fiorentina and Torino Both Search for a First Win at the Artemio Franchi

Two storied clubs uncomfortable in the standings meet with urgent need to snap a losing run in Serie A.

Fiorentina and Torino Both Search for a First Win at the Artemio Franchi

Zero points, zero goals scored and seven conceded through two matchdays: that is how Fiorentina arrives at this meeting with Torino, another club still searching for its first win and its first points in Serie A. At the Artemio Franchi, two uncomfortable names in the standings collide, both chasing something neither has managed yet this season: a victory.

The numbers from this season's tournament record are rough for both sides. Fiorentina has played two matches, lost both, failed to score and conceded seven. Torino has also lost twice, scoring two and conceding four. That leaves them near the bottom of the table, with Fiorentina in 20th and Torino in 14th, though it's worth remembering that with only two matchdays played, the standings still say little about the real level of either squad.

Looking at recent form over the last five matches, a different and broader sample than the tournament record, Fiorentina comes in with two draws, one win and two losses, while Torino has one draw, one win and three losses in that same window. Neither side arrives on a positive run.

There's another figure worth reading carefully, since it comes from a separate sample: in the 2026 Serie A season, both home and away, Fiorentina has failed to score in either of its two matches and has conceded 3.5 goals per game on average, without a single clean sheet. Torino, in that same two-match sample, scores 1 goal per game and concedes 2, also without a clean sheet. That sample also shows their top scorers: Pietro Comuzzo and Che Adams, with one goal each.

What the Head-to-Head Says

The history between these two clearly favors Fiorentina: of 8 meetings, they won 3, drew 5 and have never lost to Torino, scoring 8 goals and conceding 5 across that span. It's a record that favors the home side, though the current form of both teams is far removed from those numbers.

Probable Lineups

With low confidence, according to the projection itself, Fiorentina would line up with David de Gea in goal, a back line of Radu Dragusin, Luca Ranieri, Dodo and Valde, a midfield of Cher Ndour, Arthur Atta, Marco Brescianini and Nicolo Fagioli, and Albert Gudmundsson alongside Roberto Piccoli up front. Torino, also projected with low confidence, would field Diego Mascardi in goal, a back line of Saul Coco, Alessio Cacciamani, Pietro Comuzzo, Ardian Ismajli and Niccolo Fortini, with Gvidas Gineitis, Nikola Vlasic, Marcus Pedersen and Kian Fitz-Jim in midfield, and Giovanni Simeone leading the attack.

What the Numbers Say

Our model gives Fiorentina a slight edge, though not an overwhelming one, based on the head-to-head record and home-field advantage.

StatisticFiorentinaTorino
Win probability54%20%
Draw26%
Expected goals (estimated xG)1.791.04

The 54% for Fiorentina and 20% for Torino, with a 26% chance of a draw, make clear there is a favorite but not an overwhelming gap: a draw remains a real possibility. Keep in mind this is our own estimate based on season trends, not a betting line or a definitive forecast.

With both teams still pointless and needing to break out of a rough stretch, the match at the Artemio Franchi carries the weight of an urgent test rather than a routine fixture. History smiles on the home side, but the numbers from this Serie A start haven't done anyone any favors.

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