Frosinone hosts Venezia, the only team without a goal in Serie A

Two wins, three losses, zero goals scored: Venezia arrives at the Benito Stirpe as the only team in Serie A that has yet to find the net this season. Having conceded four goals in two matches and sitting on zero points, the visitors are rooted in 19th place. Standing in their way will be a Frosinone side that, without setting the league alight, does know how to win: the hosts come in off three points from two matches played and sit ninth, just 3 points above their upcoming opponent in the table.

The home side arrives on the back of a run that invites cautious optimism: of their last five matches, three ended in wins, one in a draw and just one in defeat. In their official Serie A record they have 1 win and 1 loss from two matches, with 3 goals scored and 1 conceded. What's more, in this season's Serie A trend sample (both home and away, over just 2 matches) Frosinone is averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, with half of those games ending in clean sheets, and tends to be more active between the 16th and 30th minutes. Antonio Raimondo, with two goals in that sample, and Gabriele Bracaglia, with one, are the names that show up most often in that count.

Venezia, on the other hand, can't find a way to turn its start around. Its recent form shows two straight wins followed by three consecutive losses, and its record in the league is two defeats in two matches, with no goals scored and four conceded. The trend sample for Venezia in this 2026 Serie A campaign (also over 2 matches, home and away) is even more telling: 0 goals scored per match, 2 conceded, 0% clean sheets, and a tendency to concede early, within the first 15 minutes.

The head to head between the two sides, though, isn't short: they've met on 8 occasions, with 4 wins for Frosinone, 3 for Venezia and one draw, with a goal count of 12 to 9 in favor of the home side. A history that carries little weight against each team's present form, but one that makes clear this hasn't been a one sided series.

Probable lineups

Frosinone could take the field with Lorenzo Palmisani between the posts and a back line made up of Ilario Monterisi, Gabriele Bracaglia, Anthony Oyono and Gabriele Calvani, all regulars in recent matches. In midfield, Giacomo Calò, Giorgi Kvernadze, Matteo Cichella and Romano Schmid could feature, with Antonio Raimondo and Seydou Fini as the attacking references. In any case, this is a projected lineup with low reliability according to the analysis itself.

On Venezia's side, the projection points to Filip Stankovic in goal, a back line with Armel Bella-Kotchap, Joël Schingtienne and Bartol Franjic, and a crowded midfield made up of Antoine Hainaut, Kike Pérez, Gianluca Busio, Thierry Correia, Ridgeciano Haps and Toma Basic, with John Yeboah up front. This lineup, too, is a projection and not confirmed.

What the numbers say

EnPelotas' proprietary model calculates expected goals of 1.51 for Frosinone and 1.27 for Venezia, for an estimated total of 2.78 goals in the match. The probabilities split the favoritism without overstating it:

These figures reflect a slight edge for Frosinone given home advantage and better recent numbers, but the match is far from decided in advance: a 28% chance of a draw and 30% for Venezia leave the door open to any result. As always, this is the model's own estimate, not a betting line.

With a Venezia desperate to end its scoring drought and a Frosinone looking to build on its start in Serie A, the Benito Stirpe will host a match in which both sides have different reasons to come out chasing the game from the first whistle.