Huracán Looks to Snap Losing Streak Against Estudiantes Río Cuarto, a Rival That Has Owned the Series

The Tomás Adolfo Ducó hosts a game with a lopsided history behind it: Estudiantes Río Cuarto has won both of the previous meetings against Huracán, with a combined score of 4 to 0. This time, though, the current standings in Group B of Argentina's Primera División tell a different story, with Huracán arriving in far better shape than the rival that has dominated it so far.

Huracán sits ninth with 8 points from 6 games played (2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses), with 4 goals scored and 4 allowed. Over its last five matches the club has managed just one win, two draws and two losses, an unremarkable stretch but not a worrying one: it averages 1.38 goals scored per game and concedes only 1 on average, with Jordy Caicedo as its top scorer (8 goals) and the 31st to 45th minute window as its most productive stretch.

On the other side, Estudiantes Río Cuarto is going through a much rougher patch. The club sits 15th with 5 points from 6 games (1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses), and its goal difference of minus 4 is the worst in the group. Over the last five matches it hasn't won once: two draws and three defeats. The offensive numbers tell the story clearly: just 0.12 goals scored per game against 1.76 allowed, and only 13% of its matches have ended with a clean sheet. No player has more than one goal this season according to the records: Gabriel Alanís, Mateo Bajamich and Facundo Cobos share the team lead with one goal apiece.

Likely Lineups

With medium confidence, Huracán's probable starting eleven would repeat the core that has started in most of the last six games: Hernán Galíndez in goal, a back line of Hugo Nervo, Lucas Blondel and Máximo Palazzo, Óscar Cortés and Leonardo Gil in midfield, and the attacking pair of Juan Bisanz and Jordy Caicedo up top.

Estudiantes Río Cuarto, also projected with medium confidence, would rely on Lucas Bruera between the posts, Sergio Ojeda as a fixture in defense, and a midfield built around Tomás González and Gonzalo González as the most regular starters, with Yeison Moreno leading the attack.

What the Numbers Say

Our model gives Huracán a clear edge as the home team, though not an overwhelming one:

The 58% figure in Huracán's favor reflects the home side's relatively better form, but the 32% chance of a draw is not a minor detail: the visitors' weak finishing coexists with a Huracán defense that hasn't been especially solid this season either. The likelihood of both teams scoring is low, just 11%, while the chance of the match going over 2.5 goals sits at 44%, consistent with a matchup expected to feature more control than offensive fireworks. As always, this is our own estimate based on the season's trends, not a betting line or a definitive forecast.

With those numbers on the table, Huracán has a real chance to snap a very specific losing streak against a rival that badly needs points and hasn't found the net with any regularity in six matchdays. The Ducó pitch will decide whether the history between these two sides starts to be written differently this time.