Jordan looks to snap losing skid as Venezuela enters as slight favorite

Jordan arrives at this friendly having dropped its last five matches in a row, a stat that weighs on the home side's mood at King Abdullah II Stadium in Amman. On the other side, Venezuela isn't exactly thriving either, but it comes in with a bit more variety in its recent results. There's nothing at stake beyond pride, but the match gives both coaches, Ezzaki Badou for Jordan and Oswaldo Vizcarrondo for Venezuela, a chance to test some variations before tougher assignments down the road.

Jordan's run leaves little room for optimism: five straight losses in its most recent stretch. Looking at the full season in International Friendlies, both home and away, the team averages 0.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game, with clean sheets in just 13% of matches, across a sample of 8 games. That same trend shows the stretch where scoring has been hardest improving between the 16th and 30th minutes. Nizar Al Rashdan, Odeh Fakhoury and Amer Jamous stand out as the top scorers in that sample, with one goal apiece.

Venezuela, for its part, has a record this season in friendlies of 2 games played, no wins, one draw and one loss, 1 goal scored and 2 conceded. Over its last five matches it has posted one win, two draws and two losses, a more balanced stretch than Jordan's. In the 2026 International Friendlies trend sample, home and away across just 2 games, the team averages 0.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per match, with 50% of games without conceding, and its most productive scoring stretch falls between the 46th and 60th minutes. Kevin Kelsy stands out as the team's top scorer in that sample, with one goal.

The probable lineups

For Jordan, the projected lineup keeps a recognizable base: Yazeed Abulaila in goal, with Yazan Al Arab and Abdallah Nasib in defense, a midfield of Nizar Al Rashdan, Mohannad Abu Taha, Noor Al Rawabdeh and Ehsan Haddad, and up top an attacking duo of Ali Olwan and Mousa Al Tamari, joined by Odeh Fakhoury. It's a lineup with high reliability based on recent matches.

Venezuela, with a lower reliability in the projection, would likely field José Contreras between the posts, a back line of Jon Aramburu, Nahuel Ferraresi, Teo Quintero and Luís Balbo, a midfield of Gleiker Mendoza, Cristian Cásseres, Yangel Herrera, Telasco Segovia and Delvin Alfonzo, with Jesús Ramírez as the attacking reference. These are probable lineups, not confirmed ones, and should be taken with caution.

What the numbers say

Our model gives Venezuela a slight edge, though without much separation between the three outcomes.

The numbers are close enough that there's no clear favorite to speak of: the draw sits right near the top percentage and the gap between all three outcomes doesn't reach ten points. As for expected goals, our own estimate puts Jordan at 1.09 and Venezuela at 1.25, for a projected total of 2.34 goals in the match. As always, this is our own projection, not a betting line or a definitive forecast.

With Jordan looking to snap a losing streak at home and Venezuela trying to build some consistency in its friendlies, the match in Amman promises to give both coaches fine-tuning minutes before tougher tests arrive.