Osasuna and Getafe Clash at El Sadar, Both Still Searching for Their Form in LaLiga

El Sadar hosts a matchup between two teams still trying to find themselves early in LaLiga. Osasuna comes in seventh with just two games played, and Getafe sits eleventh with the same handful of matchdays under its belt, so any reading of the table should be taken with a grain of salt: just one point separates the two sides, and the standings still say more about scheduling than actual level.

Osasuna's record in the league is one win, one draw and no losses in two games, with two goals scored and one conceded. Getafe, meanwhile, has one win and one loss, with one goal scored and three allowed, a balance that already points to a leakier defense. Looking at recent form (each team's last five matches, beyond the start of the league campaign), Osasuna strung together three straight losses before closing with a draw and a win, while Getafe bounced between wins and losses without ever settling in: two wins, a draw and two losses in that stretch.

On offense, Osasuna averages 1 goal per game and concedes 0.5, keeping a clean sheet in half of its matches, with its most productive stretch coming between the 46th and 60th minutes. Ante Budimir and Kike Barja are the club's top scorers so far, with one goal each. Getafe scores less (0.5 goals per game) and concedes more (1.5), though it also keeps a clean sheet in half of its matches, with its goals tending to arrive late, between the 76th and 90th minutes. Enes Unal is the team's top scoring reference with one goal.

A History That Favors Getafe

The head to head record between these two clearly favors the visitors: of the 8 matches played, Getafe has won 5, Osasuna 2, with 1 draw, and a goal difference of 14 to 10 in favor of the Madrid side. It's a piece of background information, though, that says nothing about how either team arrives at El Sadar today.

Possible Lineups

With the caveat that this is an estimated lineup of low reliability according to the data itself, Osasuna could go with Sergio Herrera again in goal, with Alejandro Catena, Abel Bretones, Valentin Rosier and Enzo Boyomo across the back line, Jon Moncayola, Lucas Torro and Ruben Garcia in midfield, and Ante Budimir alongside Aimar Oroz up top. Getafe, for its part, could field David Soria in goal, a back four of Djene Dakonam, Zaid Romero, Abdel Abqar and Johan Mojica, Orel Mangala and Ramon Terrats through the middle, and the attacking duo of Martin Satriano and Enes Unal.

What the Numbers Say Before Kickoff

Our model, based on this season's trends, points to a fairly even match with a slight edge for the home side:

The 43% for Osasuna against Getafe's 24% shows a certain preference for the home side, but the 33% chance of a draw makes clear there's no heavy favorite here: this is an in-house estimate based on the season's trends, not a betting line or a definitive forecast. The expected goals figures, 1.2 for Osasuna and 0.84 for Getafe, point to a match with few clear-cut chances, which lines up with both teams' scoring averages so far this season.

With Osasuna looking to put an end to the inconsistency of its recent matches and Getafe trying to right a start that has produced more goals against than for, El Sadar should offer a good test of whether either side can impose its game plan, or whether the result once again ends up split down the middle, as has so often happened between these two rivals.