Viking host a Bayern Munich riding a scoring streak in the Champions League

Lyse Arena hosts a clash of contrasts this Tuesday in the Champions League league phase: Viking, who opened the tournament with a loss, take on Bayern Munich, who kicked things off with a 5-0 rout. Two completely different realities after just one matchday.

The Norwegian side arrives bruised after falling in their debut, with a scoreline that left them with one goal scored and three conceded. Over their last five matches across all competitions, Viking have picked up three wins, one draw and one loss, so this isn't a team lacking rhythm, but the Champions League has shown them a different face from the first minute. In the overall standings, which combine all 36 teams in the league phase, Viking sit in 30th place, though with only one match played that position doesn't yet say much.

On the other side stands a Bayern Munich team that was ruthless in their opener: five goals scored and a clean sheet, with Michael Olise the standout performer with a brace, alongside contributions from Alphonso Davies and Harry Kane. That clean sheet figure reflects this season's own Champions League sample (one match, combining home and away), not the competition's historical record. Over their last five matches, the Bavarian club have racked up three wins and two draws without a single defeat, and they currently share second place in the table with 3 points, level with clubs like Paris Saint-Germain and Barcelona.

The available data shows no prior meetings between these two sides, so this is largely uncharted territory for this fixture in the competition.

Probable lineups

For Viking, managed by Morten Jensen, the projected starting eleven (rated high confidence based on recent lineups) would feature Arild Østbø in goal, a back line of Henrik Heggheim, Kristoffer Haugen, Gianni Stensness and Henrik Falchener, a midfield of Tobias Moi, Kristoffer Askildsen and Joe Bell, and an attacking trio of Zlatko Tripic, Peter Christiansen and Edvin Austbø.

For Bayern Munich, coached by Vincent Kompany, the probable lineup (rated medium confidence) looks set to include Manuel Neuer in goal, a defensive line of Jonathan Tah, Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies and Josip Stanisic, a loaded midfield with Aleksandar Pavlovic, Joshua Kimmich, Luis Diaz, Michael Olise and Ismael Saibari, and Harry Kane leading the line up front.

What the numbers say

Our model shows a clear, though not overwhelming, edge for the visitors:

Bayern Munich enter as favorites at 54%, but Viking retain a 25% chance and the draw sits at 21%, numbers that serve as a reminder this is far from a formality decided in advance. As for expected goals, our in-house projection puts the figure at 1.62 for Viking and 2.41 for Bayern Munich, for a projected total of 4.03 goals in the match. Worth repeating: this is an internal projection, not a sportsbook line.

With a Viking side needing to respond at home and a Bayern Munich team looking to confirm the statement made in their debut, the clash at Lyse Arena promises plenty of action on the scoreboard from the opening whistle.