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MTACincinnati favored over New England at TQL
With 48% probability for the home side, 30% for the Revolution and an even head-to-head record, the model points to an open match with goals at TQL Stadium.
By EnPelotas Staff
News & Analysis
Soccer analysis, tactics and context, every day
DC United vs Red Bulls, playoff showdown
Separated by just 6 points in the standings, both clubs arrive in inconsistent form, and the model gives a slight edge to the New York Red Bulls, who also hold the upper hand in th...
Crew Hosts Charlotte in Tight Matchup Despite Standings Gap
Bottom-of-the-table Columbus Crew look for points against a Charlotte FC side sitting fifth in the East, in a match the models see as close and high-scoring.
Montreal vs Atlanta: fight to escape the basement
Separated by just 3 points in the East, Montreal and Atlanta United are both looking for a win at Stade Saputo, in a matchup where history favors the visitors but the model gives a...
Gruda's strike gives Leipzig win over PSV
A stunning goal from Brajan Gruda in the 74th minute sealed a 1-0 win for RB Leipzig over a PSV side that missed a penalty and came away empty-handed despite dominating possession.
Tresoldi hat trick sinks Inter
Club Brugge held off a late Inter comeback to escape San Siro with a thrilling 3-4 win in the Champions League.
Arsenal thrash Lille 3-0 in Champions League
After a dominant but scoreless first half, substitutes Havertz, Ødegaard and Saka sparked a lethal burst that sealed a 3-0 win at the Emirates.
Champions League
Luis Díaz scored, but Bayern drew 3-3 with Viking
The Colombian netted the 3-2 goal in his 50th European competition appearance, but Viking FK equalized in stoppage time after Olise's red card.
River favored against Sarmiento
With just three points separating them in Group B, Sarmiento and River Plate meet in a tight matchup where the model gives the edge to the Núñez side, though a home upset can't be ...
Sabah 2-0 Slavia Prague in Champions League
A Parris counterattack goal and a late strike from Mickels gave Sabah a win the match stats don't quite back up, as Slavia dominated the game but couldn't turn that control into go...
Sporting beats Lens 2-0 despite being outplayed
With goals from Luis Suarez and Issa Doumbia, Sporting CP beat Lens 2-0 on the road, a game in which the hosts fired 21 shots and hit the post, and climbed to the top of the Champi...
Champions League
Mourinho Reignites Refereeing Row Before Roma Trip
Real Madrid's coach, returning to the stadium where he once managed Roma, took a swipe at refereeing standards following the Villarreal match and ran through his squad's absences f...
Slovan, Stuttgart in tight Champions clash
After conceding a 1-6 defeat in its debut, Slovan hosts an unbeaten Stuttgart in Bratislava, with a head-to-head record favoring the Germans and a model that points to a very tight...
Shakhtar and AEK meet at Stamford Bridge
With just one point separating them in the table and similar winning streaks, Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens are set for an even matchup in London in the Champions League league p...
Roma Host Favored Real Madrid in Champions League
Roma are chasing their first win of the league phase against a Real Madrid side arriving in better form and with a commanding edge in the head to head record.
Betis Hosts a Porto Side in Need of Answers
Betis arrives in full flight after a perfect run of wins, while Porto looks to bounce back from its first European defeat in a matchup the model sees as a toss-up.
City host PSG with perfect records
The Etihad Stadium hosts a clash between two unbeaten league-phase sides, with the model giving a slight edge to the home team.
Bodø/Glimt hosts red-hot Dortmund
The Norwegian side, saddled with the competition's worst defense after falling 0-5, hosts a Dortmund team at the Aspmyra Stadion that won its opener and remains unbeaten in its las...
Aston Villa Favored at Home Against Fenerbahce
With a 49 percent win probability according to the model, Aston Villa hosts Fenerbahce at Villa Park against a team in good form but still looking for its first league phase win.
LASK hosts favored Liverpool
With head-to-head history and recent form working against them, LASK takes on a Liverpool side that enters as the clear favorite in Linz, though the numbers still leave room for an...
Feyenoord hosts in-form Como
After getting routed in its European debut, Feyenoord welcomes a Como side that won convincingly to the Stadion Feijenoord, in a matchup the model projects as a toss-up.
Champions League
Suárez and Sporting visit Lens in the Champions League
The Colombian striker arrives on a seven-game scoring streak and a perfect record against French clubs, though Sporting hasn't won in France since 2010.
Ronaldo scores No. 981 amid Portugal disciplinary mess
The forward found the net again for Al Nassr just as the Portuguese federation investigates his exit from the national team.
Deportes
Barça, Madrid scout Haaland; Chelsea eye Alex Scott
Spanish scouts also kept an eye on Araújo, Mac Allister and Wirtz, while Chelsea maneuvers for Scott and De Jong ahead of January.
Osimhen returns, assists in Galatasaray's comeback win
The Nigerian striker came on in the 77th minute after a month out with injury and helped seal a 3-1 win with two stoppage-time goals, putting his team top of the Turkish league ahe...
Champions League
Inter hosts Club Brugge needing a response in Champions League
Lautaro Martinez and Hans Vanaken headline a first-ever meeting between two sides looking to put their opening-night losses behind them.
Gimnasia beats Newell's despite being outplayed
A right-footed strike from outside the box by Modica gave Gimnasia Mendoza a 1-0 win over a Newell's side that dominated the match, had a goal wiped out by VAR, and ran into their ...
Al Nassr beats Neftchi 3-1
Goals from Ângelo, Cristiano Ronaldo and an own goal sealed Al Nassr's win over a Neftchi side that played almost half an hour down a man.
Alverca thrashes Famalicão 4-1
With just 35.5% possession, Alverca was ruthless on nearly every chance, beating Famalicão 1-4 even as the home side controlled the ball without ever threatening real danger.
Levante and Sevilla draw 3-3 in a crazy finish
Isaac Romero scored and was sent off within seconds of each other, but Levante came back twice in the closing stretch to secure an agonizing 3-3 at the Ciutat de Valencia.