Tomás Fernández's Golazo Gives Aldosivi the Win Over Atlético Tucumán

Tomás Fernández showed up on the right side of the box, cut one loose and drilled it straight into the top corner. That golazo, in the 55th minute, wound up being the difference between Aldosivi and Atlético Tucumán at José María Minella: 1-0 final, in Argentina's Primera División.

The home side had pushed hard throughout the first half without finding a breakthrough. Lucas Castro rattled the right post with a shot in the 18th minute, and both Tomás Fernández and Martín García tried their luck without hitting the target. Atlético Tucumán, for its part, answered with a few long-range attempts from Lautaro Godoy, one of which clipped the crossbar in the 9th minute. The first half ended scoreless despite the back-and-forth.

The second half opened with Aldosivi pressing down the flanks and Atlético Tucumán testing things too, including a low shot from Lautaro Godoy that was saved along the ground. But it was Tomás Fernández who settled the match: he took a pass from Santiago Moya and finished with his right foot from inside the box to make it 1-0.

Aldosivi thought it had doubled its lead in the 83rd minute, when Leonardo Sigali rose to head home a cross. However, a VAR review chalked off the goal, and it never made it onto the scoreboard. Atlético Tucumán searched for an equalizer late on, with attempts from Alexis Canelo, Leandro Díaz and Rodrigo Granillo, even during the six minutes of stoppage time that were played, but couldn't break down Aldosivi's defense.

By the numbers

Aldosivi controlled possession and created the clearer chances, though the match was even in total shots.

The xG generated in the match, an in-house estimate based on shot location, gave Aldosivi 1.567 against Atlético Tucumán's 1.02, a reflection of those three big chances the home side managed to carve out against the visiting defense.

Beforehand, our projection had split the odds fairly evenly and even slightly favored the visitors: 30% for an Aldosivi win, 32% for a draw and 38% for Atlético Tucumán, with expected goals of 1.02 for the home side and 1.18 for the visitors. The result went against what the model saw as most likely, with Aldosivi coming through thanks to Tomás Fernández's finish.

What it means in the standings

The win helps Aldosivi add points in a Group B where it had arrived in 13th place with 8 points from 10 matches played (2 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses). Atlético Tucumán, which sat in 9th place with 13 points from 10 outings (3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses), comes away empty-handed on this matchday. The two sides were separated by 5 points before this game, and the loss doesn't help the visitors close that gap.

The match had a bit of everything: a post, a quality finish, a goal wiped out by VAR late on and a defense that held firm enough for Aldosivi to walk away with all three points at José María Minella.