Perfect Roma visits a Torino side desperate to turn things around at the Olimpico Grande Torino

Roma arrive at the Olimpico Grande Torino with a near-perfect start to the season: three wins in three matches and a goal difference of plus nine in Serie A. Standing in their way will be a Torino side still searching for its best form, one that needs points to stop glancing nervously at the bottom of the table.

The Turin club comes into this match having managed just one win in its last three league games (one victory and two defeats, scoring 4 goals and conceding 5). Over the last five matches we're using as a recent reference point, Torino picked up two wins and three losses, a roller coaster stretch reflected in the standings: 3 points and 13th place. With only three matches played, that position doesn't yet tell the full story, but the team needs to right the ship soon.

Roma, on the other hand, hasn't put a foot wrong: three wins in three matches, 10 goals scored and just 1 conceded, good for second place in the table, only a point behind league leaders Lazio and six points clear of Torino. Over their last five matches, the Romans have racked up three wins and two draws, with no losses at all. It's also worth noting, even though it's a different sample and context, that Roma is averaging 3.33 goals scored and just 0.33 conceded per game in the 2026 Serie A season across home and away matches, with clean sheets in 67% of games. Torino, in that same type of sample, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, with no clean sheets at all.

The head-to-head history doesn't favor Torino either: of the 8 meetings between the two sides, Roma has won 5, Torino 2, with 1 draw, and the visitors have outscored the hosts 12 goals to 7 across those matches.

Likely lineups

Torino's probable starting eleven, with medium reliability based on recent data, would likely feature a back line of Saul Coco, Pietro Comuzzo, Eray Comert and Ardian Ismajli, with Gvidas Gineitis and Alessio Cacciamani in midfield and Nikola Vlasic alongside Giovanni Simeone up front. On Roma's side, also an estimate, the core would be built around Gianluca Mancini, Mario Hermoso and Evan Ndicka at the back, Bryan Cristante and Manu Kone in midfield, and an attacking trio of Donyell Malen, Paulo Dybala and Matias Soule, with Malen having scored 5 goals so far in the 2026 Serie A trend sample.

What the numbers say before kickoff

Our model, which is worth clarifying is our own estimate and not a betting line, sees Roma as the clear favorite, though not by an overwhelming margin.

A draw, at 25%, is not a scenario that can be ruled out, and expected goals (our own projection, not an official figure) put the total at 2.82, in line with trends showing 100% of matches with more than 2.5 goals and 100% of matches with both teams scoring in the sample analyzed.

With Roma looking to keep its perfect record intact and Torino needing all three points on home turf, the Olimpico Grande Torino promises a match with goals at both ends, even if the odds, for now, clearly favor the visitors.