Liga Premier
Bournemouth, on a roll, host Leeds
Marco Rose's side arrive on the back of five straight wins to face a Leeds team that has barely lost all season, in a matchup the model sees as tight with a slight edge for the hos...
Chelsea favored over struggling United
Our model gives Chelsea a 51% chance of winning at Stamford Bridge against a United side looking to snap its poor run on the road.
Chelsea-Manchester United: a Premier League duel of urgency
With Xabi Alonso looking to snap a two-game losing streak and Carrick on the brink of the exit, Chelsea and United are playing for more than three points in Premier League matchday...
Rulli saves two penalties, sends City through
The Argentine goalkeeper denied Ayari and Dunk from the spot to seal a 4-3 shootout win over a Brighton side that forced City to come from behind twice in a wild 2-2 draw.
Sunderland 0-0 Leeds United, no goals
Despite combining for 26 shots, Sunderland and Leeds United couldn't find the net and split the points at the Stadium of Light.
Bournemouth rout United 3-0
Goals from Rayan, Tavernier and Evanilson made Bournemouth ruthless against a United side that had more possession and shots but couldn't find the net.
Liverpool 2-0 Brighton: efficiency beats possession
A Pascal Groß own goal and an Alexander Isak strike inside the first 20 minutes were enough for Liverpool to beat a Brighton side that controlled the ball and created more chances ...
Brentford draw 1-1 with Hull City
Ouattara scored in the second half to cancel out McBurnie's converted penalty, leaving a 1-1 final score at the MKM Stadium.
Newcastle downs Crystal Palace 2-0
Despite dominating possession and shots, Crystal Palace fell 2-0 to a Newcastle side that settled things with goals from Osula and Barnes right at the start of the second half.
Tottenham flips the script, beats Chelsea 0-2
An own goal and a Mathys Tel screamer in the closing minutes, plus a Cole Palmer red card, hand Tottenham a win that completely overturns the pre-match forecast.
Bobb gives Fulham the win over Coventry
In a match that was even at times, a goal from Oscar Bobb off a corner sealed Fulham's 0-1 win at Coventry in the Premier League.
Arsenal 2-0 Everton in Premier League
Goals from Konsa and Gabriel Magalhães gave Arsenal a commanding win that keeps them level with Manchester City at the top of the table.
Bottom club Sunderland host favored Leeds
The model gives Leeds a 42% chance of winning against 26% for Sunderland, in a matchup where every point carries different weight.
Jackson brace stuns City
Despite dominating possession and chances, Manchester City fell 2-1 to an Aston Villa side that made the most of its efficiency through two goals from Nicolas Jackson.
United host inconsistent Bournemouth at Old Trafford
Separated by just a point in the standings, Carrick's and Rose's sides are both looking to rediscover consistency in a matchup the model sees as tightly balanced, with a slight edg...
Liverpool hosts red-hot Brighton
The Premier League's fifth and third place sides meet at Anfield in a tightly matched game where the model gives a slight edge to the visitors.
Hull City host favorites Brentford
With just a point separating them in the table, Hull City are looking to snap a rough run against a Brentford side that, on paper, arrive as clear favorites.
Palace hosts history-favored Newcastle
At Selhurst Park, two inconsistent sides look to rediscover winning form in a match where the model points to goals at both ends.
Ipswich 1-1 Forest: draw despite visitors' dominance
Nottingham Forest doubled Ipswich Town's shot count and xG, but a 1-1 draw with goals from Williams and Enciso left both clubs in the lower reaches of the Premier League.
Chelsea Clear Favorites Against Tottenham
At Stamford Bridge, the model gives a 58 percent chance of a home win against a Tottenham side sitting 16th, with the recent head to head record also working against them.
Carrick defends his position at United after Como debacle
With his job on the line ahead of hosting Bournemouth, the manager invoked club legends and insisted the dressing room remains united behind him.
Coventry and Fulham in Bottom-Table Showdown
Separated by a single point in the standings, Coventry City and Fulham meet in a direct battle at the bottom of the table that the projections see as tight, with a slight edge for ...
Arsenal, clear favorite against Everton
With a 62 percent win probability according to the model, Arteta's side looks to keep up the pace at the Emirates that has them sitting second in the Premier League.
Unbeaten City visit in-form Villa
The model gives Manchester City a 42% chance of victory, but Aston Villa arrives with four wins in its last five matches ready to make a fight of it.
Liverpool-Brighton: key matchday 8 clash at Anfield
Sitting fifth with 12 points, the Anfield side look to snap a losing trend against a Brighton team that beat them last time out thanks to a Welbeck brace.
United: How Blame Is Shared for Its Worst Crisis in Years
After the thrashing at the hands of Como, the club's worst European defeat since 1994, owners, executives, the coach and the players all share responsibility for a disaster that ha...
Ipswich, Forest Clash in Crucial Duel
With history and the numbers favoring Forest, Ipswich hosts an evenly matched clash at Portman Road between two sides in need of points in the Premier League.
Aston Villa vs. Manchester City: kickoff time and how to watch
The unbeaten leaders visit Villa Park this Saturday, with Enzo Fernandez among the starters and Semenyo set for eight weeks out.
Red-hot Chelsea faces a Tottenham side with just one win
Xabi Alonso's side, fourth in the Premier League, will look to extend its good form at Stamford Bridge against a Spurs team that still hasn't found its footing.
Tottenham sink Coventry in stoppage time (3-1)
Maddison put the hosts ahead early, Coventry leveled at the start of the second half through Rudoni, Marmoush restored the lead, and Ben Davies sealed the win in added time.
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