Inter looks to keep perfect record intact against a Napoli side searching for answers at the Meazza

Two of the teams that started the Serie A season with a perfect record meet at the Giuseppe Meazza, though only one of them still carries that tag: Internazionale has won both of its matches, while Napoli, sitting tenth in the table, has already suffered a loss. The matchup pits the second-place side against a rival that needs to bounce back away from home.

Inter comes into this one in fine form. In league play the club shows two wins from two matches, with 5 goals scored and just 1 conceded, and over its last five games across all competitions it has racked up four wins and a draw without a single loss. In the table, Inter shares its 6 points with Roma, Milan, Juventus, Atalanta and Lazio, though its goal difference (+4) trails that of league-leading Roma. Across the 2026 Serie A season, home and away, the side directed on the field by the likes of Çalhanoglu is averaging 2.5 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per match, with clean sheets in 50% of those two games. That same stretch has made Çalhanoglu the club's top scorer in the sample, with Francesco Pio Esposito and Yann Bisseck adding one goal apiece.

Napoli, on the other hand, arrives with one win and one loss in the league, having scored 3 goals and conceded 2. Over its last five matches it has gone three wins and two losses, the most recent outing among the defeats. In that same two-game snapshot of the 2026 Serie A season, home and away, the Naples side is averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per match, also with a 50% clean sheet rate, and its most productive scoring window falls between the 76th and 90th minutes. Højlund, De Bruyne and Vergara have each scored once in that stretch.

The head to head record between the two sides is nearly even: across 8 meetings, Inter has won 2, Napoli has won 2 and there have been 4 draws, with 11 goals scored by each side.

Probable lineups

With low confidence in our estimate, Inter could line up with Josep Martínez in goal, a back four of Bastoni, Pavard, Bisseck and Akanji, a midfield of Barella, Dimarco, Çalhanoglu, Diouf and Zielinski, and Francesco Pio Esposito leading the attack.

For Napoli, with medium confidence, the probable XI would have Meret between the posts, a defense of Rrahmani, Di Lorenzo, Buongiorno and Rafa Marín, a midfield trio of Lobotka, McTominay and Miguel Gutiérrez, and an attacking line of Højlund, Politano and Alisson Santos.

What the numbers say

The model gives Inter slightly better than a coin flip's chance of winning, with 54% against Napoli's 19%, leaving 27% for a draw, a figure that's far from negligible. Our expected goals estimate also favors the home side, 1.71 to Napoli's 0.96, for a projected total of 2.67 goals. Worth noting: this is our own projection, not a betting line or a definitive forecast.

With Inter looking to extend its perfect start and Napoli in need of a road win, the match at the Meazza promises to serve as an early, meaningful test for both sides this Serie A season.