Liverpool hosts a struggling Fulham side looking to make a statement at home

Anfield welcomes a Fulham side this weekend that still hasn't tasted victory in the Premier League: three matches, three losses, and a spot at the bottom of the table shared with Coventry City. Across from them, a Liverpool team that hasn't been winning with the authority of past seasons, but hasn't lost either: one win and two draws have them sitting in sixth place. The contrast in circumstances is stark, and that's exactly what makes this Anfield afternoon worth watching.

Liverpool arrives with a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses in three matches this season, with 6 goals scored and 4 conceded. Over their last five matches overall (a different sample that mixes competitions), they've racked up three wins and two draws, with no defeats. Fulham, on the other hand, hasn't picked up a single point: 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 4 goals scored and 7 allowed in the league. Their last five matches show a bit more life (two wins), but also three losses, including their most recent outing.

In the standings, Liverpool sits in sixth place with 5 points, while Fulham is rooted at the bottom in 19th, still without a point. The gap between the two sides is 5 points, though it's worth remembering how early it still is, with just three rounds played.

It's also worth looking at the broader 2026 Premier League trends across a three-match sample home and away: Liverpool is averaging 2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match, with a 33% clean sheet rate, and tends to find the net within the first 15 minutes. Alexander Isak stands out as their top scorer in that sample, with three goals. Fulham, in the same type of sample, is scoring 1.33 and conceding 2.33 goals per match, without a single clean sheet, and Josh King leads their scoring chart with two goals. This is context, not this competition's official record, but it paints a picture of a Liverpool side more clinical up front and a Fulham team with recurring defensive issues.

What the history says

The head-to-head record clearly favors Liverpool: of 8 meetings, they won 4, drew 3, and lost just 1, scoring 18 goals to Fulham's 13.

The probable lineups

With the caveat that this is an estimated, unconfirmed lineup, Liverpool could go with Alisson in goal, Van Dijk, Jacquet, and Kerkez across the back, and a midfield featuring Wirtz, Szoboszlai, Mac Allister, Gakpo, with a possible spot for Ngumoha or Víctor Muñoz, and Isak leading the line up front. Fulham, with similarly moderate confidence in this projection, look set to field Leno in goal, Castagne, Robinson, Bassey, and Andersen at the back, Bobb, Iwobi, Berge, King, and Palacios in midfield, and Gonzalo García up top.

What the numbers say before kickoff

The model (an in-house estimate, not a betting line) tilts things toward Liverpool with a 56% probability, compared to 19% for Fulham and 25% for a draw: a clear but not overwhelming favorite, with room for the match to get stickier than expected. Combined expected goals sit around 2.99, and the trends point to a match with goals at both ends: a 67% probability of more than 2.5 goals and another 67% chance both teams find the net.

With a Liverpool side looking to reassert itself at home and a Fulham team desperate to snap a losing streak that's starting to weigh on them, Anfield has the makings of an entertaining match, whatever the numbers say before kickoff.