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MTAVelez favored vs. Gimnasia despite bad history
The model gives Velez a 50% chance of winning at Jose Amalfitani, even though Gimnasia Mendoza has won the only two meetings between the sides.
By EnPelotas Staff
News & Analysis
Soccer analysis, tactics and context, every day
Tucumán Hosts League Leaders Rosario Central
The home side hasn't won in five matches and the recent head-to-head record clearly favors Rosario Central, who arrive as league leaders and carry a 43% win probability according t...
Hot Santos hosts in-form Querétaro
At Estadio Corona, Santos Laguna's recent good form collides with a third-place Querétaro team that arrives unbeaten in its last five matches, in a clash the models see as very eve...
Frankfurt beats Cologne 1-0
A goal from Younes Ebnoutalib, assisted by Noël Aséko, gave Eintracht Frankfurt a narrow win over 1. FC Köln in a tightly contested Bundesliga match.
Platense vs Lanús, Granate the favorite
The model gives Lanús a 39% chance of winning against a Platense team that has never beaten it at home in eight meetings.
Rivadavia favored over struggling Tigre
The home side, eighth in the standings, is favored at 45 percent against a Tigre squad that arrives at the Gargantini on a five-game losing streak and six points back in the table.
Minnesota hosts surging leader St. Louis
The home side arrives without a win in five matches and welcomes the West's second place team to Allianz Field, a club that has won four of its last five outings, though the head t...
Valencia-Athletic: no clear favorite
With just three points separating them and an even head-to-head record, the model points to a tight, low-scoring match at Mestalla.
Roma favored against a shaky Genoa
The model gives Roma a 68% chance of winning against a Genoa side that sits 17th and has lost four of its last six Serie A matches.
Troyes looks to stop head-to-head favorite Lens
With the worst goal difference in Ligue 1, Troyes takes on Lens in a match where the model gives the home side just a 16% chance of winning.
Lille looks to snap funk against Brest
The model favors Lille with a 57% chance of victory, but points to an open game with goals from both sides against an inconsistent Brest.
Union, red hot, host Charlotte in East clash
The Union arrive sixth and on a roll, Charlotte sit fifth but inconsistent, in a matchup the model calls close with a slight edge for the home side.
Peru to face Bolivia in Lima on November 13
It will be La Bicolor's first home match since being eliminated from the 2026 World Cup, and the FPF is also considering adding a friendly against Costa Rica on the same FIFA date.
Banfield faces history against Argentinos
The Taladro has never beaten the Bicho in eight meetings and arrives 9 points behind in the standings, while the model makes Argentinos the favorite with a 46% probability.
Real Madrid tracking Sporting CP's Jacobo Afonso
The Spanish giants have gathered highly positive reports on the Spanish-Portuguese midfielder, son of former Benfica player Nuno Afonso, as part of their push to stock La Fabrica w...
Bayern heavy favorite against Leipzig
Bayern Munich, unbeaten and with an overwhelming record against Leipzig, is the clear favorite in a matchup that promises goals at both ends.
Betis hosts league leader Barcelona, still unbeaten
The third place team meets the league leader at La Cartuja, with a head to head record that heavily favors Barcelona and a model giving them a 58% chance of winning.
Newcastle vs. Aston Villa: a duel of urgency
Separated by just 3 points in the table, Newcastle and Aston Villa meet in an evenly matched game where the model gives a slight edge to the visitors and predicts plenty of goals.
Bologna hosts unbeaten leaders Inter
The model gives Internazionale a 51% chance of winning against a Bologna side sitting 14th, 11 points off the lead, in a series that's been even over the years.
PSG, red hot, visits shaky Strasbourg
With a 60 percent win probability according to our model, PSG looks to extend its run of form against a Strasbourg side that has struggled for consistency at home.
Villarreal favored over last-place Elche
With a 59 percent win probability and both teams almost certain to score, Villarreal looks for home consistency against an Elche side that needs points to climb out of the relegati...
Unbeaten City host struggling Ipswich
With an 83 percent win probability according to the model, City look to extend their perfect run at the Etihad against an inconsistent Ipswich side that has yet to keep a clean she...
Fulham Hosts Hull City as Favorite
The Premier League's bottom club is chasing its first win of the season against a Hull City side in free fall despite sitting eighth in the table.
Brentford host erratic Liverpool
Unbeaten Brentford are looking to shake off their run of draws against a Liverpool side riding better form but separated by just a point in the table.
Werder Bremen favored over Paderborn
Bundesliga's seventh-place club is the clear favorite (49%) against a 15th-place Paderborn team that badly needs results, with the head-to-head record also stacked against it.
Elversberg-Augsburg, a tight duel
Separated by a single point in the standings, Elversberg and Augsburg meet in a balanced matchup where the model points to goals from both sides.
Hamburg vs Stuttgart: battle at the bottom
Level on 6 points apiece, Hamburg and Stuttgart meet in a direct clash near the bottom of the table, with the model giving the visitors a 55% chance after winning 7 of the last 8 m...
Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05, even matchup
Schalke look to snap a rough run against a Mainz side that arrives as the favorite despite the slim gap in the standings.
Last-place Union Berlin host leaders Dortmund
The model gives Dortmund a 62% chance of victory over a Union Berlin side stuck at the bottom of the table with the worst defense in the Bundesliga.
Last-place Venezia host Napoli
Venezia arrive pointless and on a five-game losing streak for a meeting with Napoli, who dominate the head-to-head and are clear favorites according to the model.