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IRAAuxerre vs Brest: fragile defenses collide
The hosts arrive with the worst goal difference in the league, and the model points to an open game with goals on both ends at the Abbé-Deschamps.
By EnPelotas Staff
News & Analysis
Soccer analysis, tactics and context, every day
City heavy favorite over winless Sunderland
The unbeaten leader, with Haaland in red-hot form, is a heavy favorite (71%) against a Sunderland side that has never beaten them in eight previous meetings.
Unbeaten Leeds host reeling Palace
The model gives Leeds a 44% chance of victory over a Crystal Palace side mired near the bottom of the table, in a match where both teams are expected to score.
Bournemouth hosts unbeaten Liverpool
Both sides ride positive streaks, and while the head-to-head record favors the Reds, the model points to a tight contest at the Vitality Stadium.
Getafe host a Málaga side in need of points
With a Getafe side winless in five games and a Málaga team still without a victory in the league, the model tips the home side as favorites, though not by much.
Fiorentina hosts favored Napoli
With three losses and 11 goals conceded in four matches, Fiorentina looks to stop the bleeding against an inconsistent Napoli side that our model still gives a 42% chance of winnin...
Deportes
Sandro Mazzola, symbol of Inter, dies at 83
The legendary forward spent nearly 20 years at Inter, won two European Cups and the 1968 European Championship with Italy, and the club paid an emotional tribute to one of its grea...
Estupiñán brace gives Juárez win over Tigres
Despite being the heavy favorite and controlling possession, Tigres fell 2-0 to a Juárez side that made the most of its chances to claim a victory that lifts it off the bottom of t...
Tuchel leaves out Foden and Maguire
The manager has called up 27 players for the Nations League fixtures and brought back Alexander-Arnold and Palmer, while Foden, Maguire and Wharton miss out.
Puebla and Atlante Draw 1-1 at the Cuauhtemoc
Portales' goal for Atlante was matched by Mathias Tomas with a stunning left-footed strike, in a contest where VAR overturned a penalty call for Puebla and neither side could find ...
Racing rout Sarmiento 3-1
Despite sitting last in Group B, Racing dominated and beat a Sarmiento side that stood second, with braces from Ignacio Rodriguez and Adrian Martinez.
America Hosts Guadalajara with Standings Tight
Liga MX's third and second place clubs clash in an even matchup, with the model giving a slight edge to America at 42% to win versus 28% for Guadalajara.
Hall gives Red Bulls win over NYCFC
Julian Hall scored the only goal in the 56th minute as the New York Red Bulls beat New York City FC 1-0, with the hosts dominating possession and shots but unable to find the net a...
Liga MX
James Waiting for More Minutes with Nacional
Nacional, riding a five-game winning streak and in its best form of the year, visits a struggling Llaneros side that has lost four straight, with all eyes on the bench to see if Ja...
Portland Favored Over Atlanta in MLS
The model gives Portland a 55% chance of winning at Providence Park, though an Atlanta side with the worst goal difference in the East is looking to pull off an upset.
Liga MX
Last-place Junior visits Fortaleza with no room for error
The defending champion arrives with 3 points and no wins this season, while the home side looks to fight its way into playoff contention.
Real Salt Lake looks to halt slump against leader Vancouver
The team stuck in a recent tailspin hosts the Western Conference leader in a matchup where the numbers favor Vancouver, though not by an overwhelming margin.
Nashville favored over struggling Chicago
The MLS leaders enter as heavy favorites (54% per our model) against a Chicago Fire side winless in five and carrying an unfavorable head to head record against Nashville.
Rapids, Sounders in tight West duel
Colorado needs a win to stay in touch in the West while Seattle looks to snap a run of four straight draws, in a matchup the models see as tightly contested with a slight edge for ...
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul, even matchup
Rayados look to climb out of the lower half while La Maquina aims to hold onto fourth place in a match the model sees with essentially no favorite and a high probability of goals o...
St. Louis City favored over Toronto FC
The hosts, fifth in the Eastern Conference, are heavy favorites according to the models against a lower mid-table Toronto FC, in a matchup that promises goals at Energizer Park.
Central Córdoba Draws 2-2 on 95th-Minute Penalty
After falling two goals behind, the home side clawed back and, following two VAR reviews, Sequeira converted from the spot to seal a dramatic finish.
Sporting KC's leaky defense meets a hot Union
The Eastern Conference's worst defensive side hosts a Philadelphia Union team unbeaten in its last five, with the models heavily favoring the visitors.
Minnesota, narrow favorite over LA Galaxy
With inconsistent runs and shaky defenses on both sides, Minnesota United and LA Galaxy meet in a Western Conference clash where the model gives 48% to a home win, 26% to a draw an...
Dynamo face Cincinnati jinx
The Dynamo enter as favorites against a Cincinnati side that has beaten them in recent meetings, in an MLS clash expected to produce goals on both ends.
Dallas favored over Austin FC in MLS clash
The Western Conference's third-place club arrives in fine form at Toyota Stadium, with the model giving it a 52 percent chance of victory over an Austin FC side in need of a respon...
Instituto hosts Talleres in tight matchup
La Gloria is favored at 37 percent against a Talleres side sitting at the bottom of the table, but the model points to a tight game with a strong chance of a draw.
Earthquakes vs LAFC, Western Conference showdown
Separated by just one point in the standings, San Jose and LAFC meet at Levi's Stadium with the model giving a slight edge to the visitors and pointing to a high scoring affair.
New England - Orlando: fight for third place
With Carles Gil and Griezmann as focal points, the model favors New England (45%) over Orlando (31%) in a matchup whose history has not been kind to the hosts.
D.C. United faces favored Charlotte FC
The model gives Charlotte FC, fourth in the East, a 49% chance to win against a D.C. United side looking to snap a poor run at Audi Field.