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BLOAlverca hosts a struggling Rio Ave
The model gives Alverca a 51% chance of winning at home against a Rio Ave side that arrives with the worst goal difference in the bottom half.
By EnPelotas Staff
News & Analysis
Soccer analysis, tactics and context, every day
Stuttgart vs Dortmund: a clash of opposite runs
Unbeaten leaders Dortmund travel to face an inconsistent Stuttgart side in a matchup the model expects to be high scoring and wide open.
Celta hosts Racing hungry for goals
Celta, winless in six league games, hosts an inconsistent Racing side that struggles badly on the road, in a matchup where the statistical model favors the home side.
Forest favored against goalless Coventry
The model gives Forest a 63% chance of victory over a Coventry side that has lost four straight and has yet to score a goal in the Premier League.
Copa Sudamericana
Torque stuns Cienciano, advances in Sudamericana
After losing 2-0 in the first leg, the Uruguayan side routed its opponent at the Centenario, and Marcelo Mendez praised the squad's commitment and the fans' support.
Roma and Inter clash for the Serie A lead
The only two teams with a perfect record in Serie A face off in a tightly matched duel where history favors Inter, though this season's numbers barely tip the scale.
Paris FC hosts a red-hot Strasbourg
Separated by just one point in Ligue 1, both sides arrive in fine form for a clash the numbers suggest will be tightly contested.
Mbappé leaves Nike for On
The Real Madrid forward joins the Swiss brand's soccer venture, which also brings in Thierry Henry as sporting director.
Gil Vicente favored against a shaky Maritimo
Separated by just one point in the standings, Gil Vicente and Maritimo meet in Barcelos in a midtable clash where the model gives a 52% chance of a home win against 19% for a Marit...
Nacional hosts a winless but unbeaten Famalicão
With just a point separating them, Nacional and Famalicão look to snap their slumps in a head-to-head clash to escape the bottom of Liga Portugal.
Athletic-Alavés: derby with no clear favorite
San Mames hosts an evenly matched Basque derby where history favors the home side, but the model gives no outcome better than a 40 percent chance.
Newcastle hosts unbeaten Hull
The model heavily favors Newcastle (73%) against a Hull City side that sits fourth and remains unbeaten in the Premier League.
Everton favored over shaky Ipswich
Moyes' unbeaten side, boosted by a favorable recent head-to-head record, is the clear favorite against an Ipswich Town team that has been leaky at the back.
Liga MX
Millonarios seeks second straight win at home under Gamero
The Bogota club, fourth in the standings, hosts a struggling Chico side on Saturday after the visitors lost a direct relegation battle.
Brighton takes on unbeaten leaders Arsenal
Arsenal arrive unbeaten and with the league's stingiest defense at the American Express Stadium, where Brighton have scored 13 goals in four matchdays, in a game the model sees as ...
Werder Bremen Hosts an Unbeaten Augsburg
The hosts are searching for stability while the visitors arrive unbeaten in a matchup that the numbers say is razor-close, with a 30% draw probability nearly matching both win chan...
Hamburg, scoreless, hosts Köln
Without a point or a goal through three matchdays, Hamburger SV take on 1. FC Köln at home, a side sitting in far more comfortable position, in a matchup EnPelotas' model sees as s...
Unbeaten Freiburg visits a Frankfurt that leads the history
Freiburg arrives as the only unbeaten team in the Bundesliga to a Deutsche Bank Park where Eintracht has never lost to them, in a matchup the models see as close and full of goals.
Winless Gladbach host Mainz as favorites
Having conceded twelve goals in three matches and sitting on zero points in the Bundesliga, Borussia Mönchengladbach look to turn things around against a Mainz side that, according...
Udinese hosts a red-hot Cagliari
Udinese looks to snap a rough stretch against a solid, in-form Cagliari side, in a matchup the numbers see as tight and high-scoring.
Bologna hosts Torino with both sides desperate
The model gives Bologna a 55 percent chance of victory over a Torino side looking to snap its losing skid, in a clash between two of the league's bottom dwellers.
Osasuna-Rayo, tight matchup at El Sadar
Tied on 7 points, both Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano are looking to snap out of a rough patch in a match the model sees as very even, with a slight edge for the Madrid side.
Tottenham vs. Villa: basement showdown
Spurs and Villa, separated by just one point near the bottom, meet at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in a direct relegation-zone clash that the model gives a slight edge to the visitors...
Copa Sudamericana
Cienciano eliminated from Sudamericana in quarterfinals
The Cusco side lost the tie 3-2 on aggregate, and Melgarejo said City Torque deserved credit because they "won by every measure."
Copa Libertadores
IDV falls to Flamengo but closes out its best Libertadores run in years
Los Rayados topped their group, knocked out Tolima and matched Flamengo, the defending champion, blow for blow before falling in the quarterfinals.
Flamengo draws 1-1, advances despite red card
Reasco put Independiente del Valle ahead, and the Ecuadorian side held on with a man advantage until Arrascaeta headed in an 82nd-minute equalizer to send Flamengo through after th...
Nacional won't renew with Nike after 14 years
The Antioquia club confirmed the end of its partnership with the brand and left open the possibility of launching its own kit line starting in 2027.
Márquez overhauls Mexico: 9 World Cup players cut
Mexico's new head coach leaves out Ochoa, Vega and Raúl Jiménez, among others, while opening the door for young players like Padilla, Guzmán and Camberos ahead of matches against C...
Santa Fe 2-2 Millonarios: the semifinal first leg
All four goals came in just half an hour, leaving the series wide open ahead of the second leg at El Campin.
Emelec vs Libertad opens quadrangular at George Capwell
El Bombillo looks for three points at home against a Libertad side arriving in Guayaquil determined to land a blow in the race for the Sudamericana spot.