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BLOBetis Favored Over Osasuna at La Cartuja
LaLiga's third-place side, unbeaten at home, takes on a slumping Osasuna squad with the model giving Betis a 57 percent chance of victory.
By EnPelotas Staff
News & Analysis
Soccer analysis, tactics and context, every day
LaLiga EA Sports
Atletico needles Real Madrid over quick Valverde return
The Uruguayan is back in the squad to face Villarreal barely twenty days after a grade three ankle sprain, and the Rojiblancos couldn't resist taking a shot at their rivals on soci...
Sassuolo vs Milan: Rossoneri favored
The model gives Milan a 46 percent chance of victory as the unbeaten Serie A side visits a Sassuolo team looking to pull away from mid-table.
Freiburg clear favorite against a Schalke side in crisis
Bundesliga's third-placed side opens as a 63% favorite with eight wins in eight meetings against a Schalke team looking to turn things around on the road.
Unbeaten but unequal: Liverpool and City at Anfield
City leads the Premier League with a perfect record and is favored at 44 percent, while Liverpool looks to use home advantage to close the six point gap on its rival.
Rennes favored against Auxerre
The model gives Rennes a 53% chance of winning, but with shaky defenses on both sides, the clash at Roazhon Park promises goals at both ends.
Arsenal rallies past Leeds, wins 2-1
Justin put Leeds ahead at the Emirates, but Calafiori and Guimaraes turned the match around to leave Arsenal just a point behind the Premier League leaders.
Ronaldo faces disciplinary case over camp exit
The player himself apologized and said he would accept a sanction after clashing with Jorge Jesus over playing time.
Rio Ave vs Nacional: a duel of need
With just 4 points each and shaky defenses, Rio Ave and CD Nacional face off in a direct relegation battle that the model sees as a toss-up.
Real Sociedad favored over Dépor
The Basque and Galician sides, nearly level in the standings, meet at Anoeta with the model giving a 53% chance of a home win and a virtual dead heat in the recent head-to-head rec...
Cologne vs Mönchengladbach: a clash of urgent needs
13th-placed Cologne and bottom-of-the-table Mönchengladbach meet at RheinEnergieSTADION in a matchup the numbers call close, with the home side a slight favorite.
Lecce Hosts a Bologna Side Favored by the Numbers
In a direct clash near the bottom of Serie A, the model gives Bologna a 48 percent chance of winning, and the club has never lost to Lecce in its last eight meetings.
Lazio favored against a Monza in trouble
Gattuso's side, sitting third and on a strong run, enters as the clear favorite (56%) against a Monza side that has yet to win on the road and has never beaten them in six head-to-...
Nice hosts a favored Strasbourg
The model gives Strasbourg a 45% chance of victory over an inconsistent Nice side looking to find itself at the Allianz Riviera.
Hull City - Everton: clear favorite
Separated by just 1 point in the Premier League, Everton arrives unbeaten and with a 53% win probability according to the model, while Hull City looks to snap its recent slump.
Palace favored against a Forest side it has never beaten
At Selhurst Park, Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest meet in an even battle near the bottom of the table, with the hosts slight favorites despite never having beaten their rival ...
Elche Hosts Celta With No Clear Favorite
Elche looks for points to pull away from the relegation zone against a steadier but equally uncertain Celta side, in a match the model sees as very even.
Como-Roma: in-form sides clash in Serie A
Eighth-place Como, winners of four straight in their recent run, host an unbeaten, league-leading Roma side in a match the model sees as a close call with a slight edge for the hom...
Brunetta Brace: Tigres 3-2 Toluca
With less possession but sharper finishing, Tigres beat a Toluca side that dominated the ball 3-2, snapping the visitors' good run in the standings.
Puebla draws 1-1 with Leon in the 86th
Puebla leveled 1-1 with Leon on a late goal from Armenta, in a match where the visitors dominated the clear chances and finished with a man down after Cortizo was sent off.
Defensa y Justicia Downs Union Santa Fe 2-0
Goals from Gutierrez and Perez right before halftime gave Defensa y Justicia the win at Estadio 15 de Abril, even after playing a man down from the 75th minute following Sosa's red...
America - Monterrey: a tight Liga MX clash
The Eagles, sitting second in the table, host an inconsistent Monterrey side in a match the model sees as slightly favorable but wide open, giving the home team a 52% chance of win...
Liga MX
America Turns 110 Against Rayados at Banorte
The Eagles, second in the standings under Almada, look to snap a losing streak against Monterrey, which arrives tenth and in need of wins under Almeyda.
LAFC vs Vancouver: an even MLS clash
The West's sixth-place side hosts leader Vancouver at BMO Stadium, with both clubs arriving well below their best form according to the statistical model.
Rapids-Earthquakes, a tight MLS clash
With a solid home side and an unbeaten visitor in recent matches, the model points to an extremely close contest at Dick's Sporting Goods Park.
Chivas favored in Clásico Tapatío against Atlas
With just a single point separating the two sides in the standings, recent history and the model's numbers tilt the scale toward Guadalajara in the showdown at Estadio Jalisco.
River a clear favorite against Estudiantes Río Cuarto
At the Monumental, Ponzio's team will look to pick up points against the group B cellar dweller, with a perfect head to head record in its favor and the numbers pointing to a win w...
Gimnasia draws late against Tucuman
Despite dominating with 26 shots to 8 and falling behind late, Gimnasia La Plata tied 1-1 against Atletico Tucuman thanks to a penalty converted by Marcelo Torres in the 94th minut...
Cristiano Ronaldo scores, reaches 980 goals with Al Nassr
The Portuguese star opened the scoring in Al Nassr's 3-0 win over Al Diriyah, in his first match since leaving the national team camp following his clash with Jorge Jesus.
Kansas City, Portland in a must-win spot
The Western Conference cellar-dwellers need points against a Portland side that has dropped three straight but still arrives as the favorite according to history and the model's od...