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BLOSt. Louis City favored over Galaxy
The model gives the home side a 58% chance of victory as it fights for the Western Conference lead, in a matchup where both teams are expected to find the net.
By EnPelotas Staff
News & Analysis
Soccer analysis, tactics and context, every day
San Luis favored over Santos Laguna
With just two points separating them in the standings, San Luis enters as the favorite according to the model's 53 percent and a head-to-head record of five wins, but Santos arrive...
Racing looks to snap skid against Belgrano
At the Cilindro, Racing tries to halt its bad run against a Belgrano side sitting second in Group B, with the model giving a slight edge to the home team.
Chicago Fire rally with 10 men to win 2-1
Despite playing a man down from the 42nd minute, Chicago Fire turned the game around with goals from Saletros and Haile-Selassie to beat New York City FC at Soldier Field.
Spain Tops US 2-0 as Nanclares Shines
Early goals from Patri Guijarro and Eva Navarro, plus a saved penalty, lift Spain to victory in a friendly that was missing Bonmatí and key members of the US back line.
Porto rallies past Maritimo, stays unbeaten
The league leader came back to win 1-2 after an early scare from Szalai, with goals from Froholdt and Pietuszewski lifting Porto to 24 points through 8 matches.
Toronto rallies to beat Montreal 2-1
Lewis Morgan and Djordje Mihailovic scored between the 92nd and 94th minutes to flip a match Toronto had been losing against CF Montreal in MLS.
Leipzig thrash Eintracht 6-0 with Nkunku hat trick
Leipzig raced to a four-goal lead before halftime and sealed the biggest possible rout at home against an Eintracht side that never found an answer.
Solanke levels in the 91st to stun United
Mbeumo had put Manchester United ahead, but with Tottenham already down to ten men after Bentancur's red card, Solanke struck the 1-1 equalizer in the final minute of stoppage time...
Inter rout Parma 3-0 in 30 minutes
Sucic, Çalhanoglu and Thuram had the game put away before the half-hour mark at a Meazza controlled from start to finish by Chivu's side.
Central vs. Independiente Rivadavia, a clash at the top
Separated by just one point in the standings, both teams arrive with nearly identical form heading into a key matchup in Argentina's Primera División.
Desperate Platense hosts favored Argentinos
The Calamar, 13th with just 10 points, is looking to snap an inconsistent run against a Bicho that arrives better positioned and favored by the model, though a draw looms as the mo...
Arouca favored against inconsistent Estrela
The model gives Arouca a 53% chance of winning at home against an Estrela side that arrives in steadier form, in a matchup with an even head to head record and a history of plenty ...
Lille 1-0 Le Havre: a win without control
A Bakwa goal in the fourth minute was enough for Lille to beat a Le Havre side that, even playing a man down, controlled the match and piled up shots without finding the equalizer.
Racing Host a Valencia Side in Need at El Sardinero
With just 3 points separating them in the table, Racing and Valencia meet in LaLiga, with the model giving a slight edge to the visitors from Valencia (40 percent to 35 percent).
Cagliari vs Juventus: a heavyweight test in Serie A
Italy's surprising fourth-place side takes on a seventh-placed Juventus just two points behind, in a matchup where the model favors Spalletti's men but doesn't rule out an upset.
Troyes host a Marseille side in crisis
With history clearly favoring the visitors and a Marseille side that has lost five straight, the model gives the away team a 57 percent chance of victory at the Stade de l'Aube.
Brighton stuns Sunderland 2-0
Despite dominating possession for the entire match, Sunderland fell to a more clinical Brighton side, which scored through De Cuyper and Hadjam and held on with ten men after Strui...
Ipswich stuns Fulham late
Goals from Ouattara and O'Shea in the closing stages gave Ipswich Town a 2-1 comeback win over a Fulham side that dominated much of the match and remains winless in the Premier Lea...
Chelsea rout Bournemouth 5-1 in Premier League
Two goals in the opening minutes set Chelsea on their way to a rout that the underlying match stats didn't fully reflect.
Ajer rescues draw against Villa
Brentford leveled at Villa Park through Ajer just two minutes after McGinn had put Aston Villa 2-1 up.
Hamburg rallies to beat Hoffenheim 2-3
Down to ten men from the 64th minute, Hamburger SV turned the game around in the final minutes to beat TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 in the Bundesliga.
Bundesliga
Luis Diaz shines despite two disallowed goals in Bayern's 2-2
The Colombian returned to the starting lineup after being left out during the FIFA break and left his mark on a match defined by VAR and controversy.
San Lorenzo hosts Riestra in key relegation clash
Both teams arrive level on points, with a draw as the most likely outcome according to the model, in a direct fight for survival at the Nuevo Gasometro.
Stuttgart beats Paderborn 2-0 without dominating
Goals from Chabot and Fuhrich, both assisted by Stiller, gave Stuttgart a 2-0 win in a match where Paderborn had more possession, shots and corners.
Augsburg holds Bayern to a wild 2-2
Despite dominating with 30 shots and having a goal ruled out by VAR, Bayern could only draw 2-2 at Augsburg after falling behind twice.
Leverkusen Wins 4-3 Thriller at Mainz
Bayer 04 Leverkusen raced out to a 4-0 lead over Mainz 05, weathered a furious home comeback, and held on for all three points in a thrilling Bundesliga clash.
Burcu gives Union Berlin a late 1-0 win
Despite dominating with 19 shots to the visitors' 7, Mauro Lustrinelli's side had to wait until the 80th minute to break through against Elversberg in the Bundesliga.
Genoa stuns Fiorentina 2-1
Early goals from Osmajic and Messias were enough for Genoa to withstand Fiorentina's possession dominance and take all three points at Luigi Ferraris.
Benfica heavy favorite against Vitória Guimarães
The model gives Benfica a 78% chance of victory at the Estádio da Luz, backed by a record of six wins in eight meetings and an 11-point gap over a Vitória Guimarães side arriving i...