Serie A
Udinese hosts unbeaten Roma as clear favorite
Udinese looks to snap a four-game losing streak as Gasperini's Roma, third and still unbeaten, enters as a 60 percent favorite according to the model.
Bologna favored over Monza
The model gives Bologna a 63% chance of victory against a Monza side fighting to escape the Serie A relegation zone.
Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta: a comeback that wasn't enough
With 26 shots to 10, Fiorentina dominated the run of play but had to settle for a draw against an Atalanta side that held firm and salvaged a point at the Artemio Franchi.
Frosinone crushes Lecce 5-1
With goals of every kind, Frosinone blew past expectations and climbed the Serie A table after demolishing Lecce.
Milan-Inter: the Milan derby, date and time
League leaders Inter, unbeaten in Serie A, visit a Milan side looking to bounce back after falling to Bologna right before the derby.
Napoli rout Monza 4-1 in Serie A
After a level first half, Napoli scored three goals between the 47th and 66th minutes, De Bruyne among them, to seal a commanding 4-1 win over Monza in Serie A.
Genoa beats Juventus 2-0 despite being outplayed
Early goals from Ehizibue and Baldanzi were enough for Genoa to withstand a Juventus siege, as the visitors controlled the ball but never found the net.
Two own goals sink Venezia against Inter
Inter beat Venezia 0-2 thanks to errors from Matias Moreno and Redouane Halhal, in a match closer than the scoreline suggested, leaving the Italian side atop the table with 25 poin...
Parma, Udinese draw 0-0 despite missed penalty
Giovanni Daffara made a crucial penalty save at the Ennio Tardini, and Udinese's dominance wasn't enough to break the deadlock against a Parma side that squandered a penalty to win...
Milan sunk: 2-4 to Bologna
Bologna came from behind at San Siro with a hat trick from Mbangula and took all three points despite Milan's heavy possession.
Fiorentina hosts favorite Atalanta at the Franchi
A struggling Fiorentina, second to last in the table, looks to turn things around against an inconsistent but goal-hungry Atalanta, in a matchup our model sees as close with a slig...
Frosinone hosts a Lecce side that owns the head-to-head
Frosinone, sixth and in better form, enters as the favorite against a Lecce side that hasn't lost to them in six meetings.
Como rallies past Torino, wins 3-1
Despite managing just 27.6% possession, Como erased Torino's 1-0 lead with three goals between the 80th and 91st minutes to seal the win in Serie A.
Roma storms back to beat Cagliari 4-2
Despite falling behind to an early penalty, Roma turned the match around before halftime and sealed the win with three goals in the final ten minutes.
Lazio rout Sassuolo 6-2 to lead Serie A
A Noslin brace and goals from all over the lineup helped Lazio crush a Sassuolo side that played a man down from the 30th minute and missed two penalties.
Monza host a favored Napoli in Serie A
Second-to-last Monza look for a home spark against a defensively sturdier Napoli side, in a matchup where the statistical model gives the visitors a 56 percent chance of victory an...
Genoa under pressure vs. Juventus
Genoa, 16th with just 7 points, looks to find its footing against a seventh-place Juventus side that arrives as the favorite according to the probability model.
Bottom club Venezia hosts leaders Inter
Last-place Venezia takes on unbeaten Internazionale, the clear favorite according to our model, in a head-to-head record that tilts entirely in favor of Chivu's side.
Parma Hosts Udinese in Relegation Six-Pointer
With just a point separating them and similarly grim recent form, Parma and Udinese collide at the Tardini with no clear favorite according to our model, which gives a slight edge ...
Unbeaten Milan host Bologna
Serie A's fourth-place side, unbeaten in eight matchdays, enters as the favorite against an inconsistent Bologna team looking to climb out of the lower half of the table.
Torino looks to break the curse against Como
Fabregas' side arrives as the favorite (57%) with a lopsided 12-2 goal edge over their last four meetings with Torino, who will try to flip the script at the Stadio Olimpico Grande...
Unbeaten Roma favored over slumping Cagliari
The model gives Roma, third and still unbeaten in Serie A, a 71 percent chance of victory against a Cagliari side that arrives having lost its last two matches.
Sassuolo hosts unbeaten leaders Lazio
Sassuolo, mired in the relegation zone, looks to halt an unbeaten Lazio side at the MAPEI Stadium, a team that also dominates the recent head-to-head record.
Milan beats Udinese 0-2 in Serie A
Goals from Pulisic and Hutchinson gave Milan a 0-2 win in Udine, a result that keeps the Rossoneri unbeaten and fourth in Serie A while Udinese slide to 17th.
Juventus edges past Lecce 0-2
McKennie and Douglas Luiz scored within eight minutes of each other before halftime, and Juventus held off a second-half Lecce surge to take all three points at Via del Mare.
Genoa 1-0 Venezia: a golazo gets it done
A left-footed strike from Mikael Ellertsson in the 24th minute was enough for Genoa to beat a Venezia side that had more possession and chances but couldn't find the equalizer.
Atalanta, Frosinone share eight goals in 4-4 thriller
In an eight-goal back-and-forth, Atalanta squandered two separate two-goal leads as Frosinone grabbed a valuable road point in Serie A.
Inter grind out 2-1 win over Fiorentina in 97th minute
Zielinski converted a penalty in the 97th minute to hand Inter Milan a hard-fought 2-1 win over Fiorentina, who stay atop Serie A.
Lazio beats Parma 2-1, stays on top
Taylor and a Diego Carlos own goal put Lazio up 2-0, but a Lontani strike in stoppage time made for a nervy finish at the Olimpico.
Roma draws 3-3 at Napoli on late goal
Napoli squandered a 3-2 lead at the Maradona when Leonardo Balerdi scored his second goal of the afternoon in the 88th minute, confirmed by VAR, as Roma kept its unbeaten run alive...
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