JUV
NAP
MAR
TOU
EUP
EXC
CHA
LAL
ATO
FOR
CBR
EVE
PAL
VAS
MPT
HBS
PAL
VIC
THS
GUV
UDG
TEP
CUS
SBA
SEV
RMA
LEX
COS
IVA
LDU
BOC
RIV
VIS
RIO
MAR
SCL
ATH
RSO
VAN
SEA
ATL
TOR
NSH
RBNY
NE
MIA
LAF
MIN
POR
HOU
CSL
NCX
CAZ
LEO
EBS
LAC
SKE
VLL
RFA
FSC
SMT
COL
GTI
QAC
VAR
MOR
SUP
CAV
ISF
ONC
GRE
ATL
ALI
AGU
FAS
ANTSerie A
Bologna hosts unbeaten leaders Inter
The model gives Internazionale a 51% chance of winning against a Bologna side sitting 14th, 11 points off the lead, in a series that's been even over the years.
Last-place Venezia host Napoli
Venezia arrive pointless and on a five-game losing streak for a meeting with Napoli, who dominate the head-to-head and are clear favorites according to the model.
Frosinone Hosts an Inconsistent Sassuolo
The model gives a slight edge to Frosinone (41% to 31%) in an even Serie A midtable clash, with more than 2.5 expected goals.
Lautaro injured, out for Inter until November
A left thigh flexor issue will keep the Argentine striker out for at least three weeks, right as Inter face the derby against Milan and two Champions League matchups.
Torino rallies past Udinese 2-1
A goal from substitute Kulenovic, scored just three minutes after coming on, gave Torino a win that outperformed the pre-match odds despite having far less possession than Udinese.
Atalanta rout Venezia 3-1, finish with ten men
A brace from Krstovic and a goal from Kessie in the opening minutes settled the match, which Venezia could not overturn despite dominating the second half and Elmas's late red card...
Kolo Muani saves Juve at Cagliari
Juventus dominated with 71.6 percent possession and 22 shots, but Cagliari held on behind Maldini's goal until Kolo Muani leveled it at 1-1 in the 80th minute.
Sassuolo 1-1 Milan: late equalizer splits the points
Rabiot put Milan ahead but Odenthal leveled just minutes later, leaving the points shared at the MAPEI Stadium.
Torino vs. Udinese: A Battle of Need
Level on points and both leaking goals at the back, Torino and Udinese meet at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in a direct showdown to pull away from the relegation zone.
Bologna beats Lecce 1-2 as Cambiaghi sets up both goals
Orsolini opened the scoring, Fatah leveled for Lecce and Enem sealed Bologna's win in a match decided by fine margins, with Cambiaghi involved in all three goals.
Lazio 3-1 Monza: top of the table despite stiff resistance
Goals from Tavares, Isaksen and Pinamonti seal Lazio's win over a Monza side that, down to ten men from the 34th minute, came within a goal despite Lucchesi's red card.
Atalanta favored over bottom club Venezia
Having lost three straight at home, Atalanta hosts a Venezia side that has yet to win or even pick up a point this season, a matchup where both history and the numbers clearly favo...
Como 0-0 Roma Despite Dominance and Red Card
Roma held firm with ten men from the 52nd minute on and grabbed a point in Serie A despite Como's heavy dominance and persistence, with 19 shots that never found the net.
De Bruyne leads Napoli's 3-0 rout
The Belgian scored from the penalty spot and again in stoppage time to seal Napoli's win over Frosinone at the Maradona, with Noa Lang netting the second.
Inter rout Parma 3-0 in 30 minutes
Sucic, Çalhanoglu and Thuram had the game put away before the half-hour mark at a Meazza controlled from start to finish by Chivu's side.
Cagliari vs Juventus: a heavyweight test in Serie A
Italy's surprising fourth-place side takes on a seventh-placed Juventus just two points behind, in a matchup where the model favors Spalletti's men but doesn't rule out an upset.
Genoa stuns Fiorentina 2-1
Early goals from Osmajic and Messias were enough for Genoa to withstand Fiorentina's possession dominance and take all three points at Luigi Ferraris.
Sassuolo vs Milan: Rossoneri favored
The model gives Milan a 46 percent chance of victory as the unbeaten Serie A side visits a Sassuolo team looking to pull away from mid-table.
Lecce Hosts a Bologna Side Favored by the Numbers
In a direct clash near the bottom of Serie A, the model gives Bologna a 48 percent chance of winning, and the club has never lost to Lecce in its last eight meetings.
Lazio favored against a Monza in trouble
Gattuso's side, sitting third and on a strong run, enters as the clear favorite (56%) against a Monza side that has yet to win on the road and has never beaten them in six head-to-...
Como-Roma: in-form sides clash in Serie A
Eighth-place Como, winners of four straight in their recent run, host an unbeaten, league-leading Roma side in a match the model sees as a close call with a slight edge for the hom...
Napoli hosts unbeaten Frosinone
History and the statistical model both favor Napoli, which arrives bruised after three straight losses, against a Frosinone side that hasn't lost in five matches.
Inter heavy favorites against sliding Parma
Unbeaten Inter under Chivu, given a 77% win probability by the model, host a Parma side that has lost three of its last five matches and is looking to close the 9-point gap separat...
Genoa hosts Fiorentina in a battle of strugglers
Dead last and three points above the relegation zone respectively, Genoa and Fiorentina collide in a match the model sees as close, with a slight edge for the visitors, and a head ...
Juan Rodríguez, an ever-present starter and standout for Cagliari
The 21-year-old center back hasn't missed a single Serie A match for Cagliari and has already earned a call-up from Diego Forlán to the Uruguay national team.
Milan rout Lecce 3-0
Goals from Pulisic, Rabiot and Moreira gave Milan control from start to finish at San Siro, lifting them into fifth place in Serie A.
Juventus 2-0 Atalanta with Conceicao, Bremer
With a left-footed strike from Conceicao and a header from Bremer, Juventus beat Atalanta 2-0 in Serie A to climb to seventh place in the standings.
Parma comes from behind to beat Genoa 2-1 in stoppage time
Substitutes David Romero, Colombo, Elphege and Almqvist drove a back-and-forth scoring sequence that Parma ultimately won despite Genoa's control of the match.
Frosinone beats Como 2-0 at Benito Stirpe
Calò and Kvernadze sealed the home win over a Como side that had 64% possession and 27 shots but couldn't find the net.
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli in Serie A
Gilmour put Napoli ahead and Alex Jimenez leveled for Fiorentina in a match that left both teams stuck far from the top of the table.