Jackson brace stuns City
Despite dominating possession and chances, Manchester City fell 2-1 to an Aston Villa side that made the most of its efficiency through two goals from Nicolas Jackson.
WAH-
HAT-
JAZ-
BAN-
SHJ-
NAS-
KOL-
PZH-
LNZ-
MTK-
LIV0
ARS1
GET3
SEV1
RAC0
RMA3
ELC0
VAL1
ATH2
RSO1
VAN5
SEA1
ATL3
TOR1
NSH3
RBNY2
NE1
MIA2
LAF1
MIN3
POR3
HOU1
CSL1
NCX0
CAZ2
LEO1
FCU1
KOE1
SGE3
HSV1
COM1
VEN0
FRO2
TOR0
LAZ2
CAG1
LEC1
GEN2
JUV2
NAP0
STR5
AUX1
LYN2
ANR0
PFC3
ASM1
MAR2
TOU0
HWA1
A252
LEO4
BKH1
BJJ6
KAY0
NAE7
AYW0
HCM1
KEB2
MCY0
NAS2
LUS0
PAR15
TIR1
EGN2
EBS2
LAC1
SKE1
VLL1
ORD0
ATL2Despite dominating possession and chances, Manchester City fell 2-1 to an Aston Villa side that made the most of its efficiency through two goals from Nicolas Jackson.
The model gives Bayer Leverkusen, fourth in the standings, a 55% chance of victory over 13th-placed Hoffenheim, who are looking to turn things around at the SNP Arena.
At the Luigi Ferraris, 17th-place Genoa meets 20th-place Venezia, with a model giving the hosts a slight edge (41%) over the draw (29%) and an away win (30%).
The hosts arrive bruised after three losses in five matches, but the head to head record and their home numbers make them favorites against a Frosinone side sitting sixth in Serie ...
The Barcelona coach is demanding sharp positioning and compactness against a Madrid side arriving in Montjuic with Mbappe in red hot form and eyes on ending Barcelona's unbeaten ru...
With just 14 points apiece, Monaco and Lille meet at the Stade Louis-II in a match with no clear favorite, though history smiles on the French visitors.
Separated by just a point in the standings, Carrick's and Rose's sides are both looking to rediscover consistency in a matchup the model sees as tightly balanced, with a slight edg...
The Premier League's fifth and third place sides meet at Anfield in a tightly matched game where the model gives a slight edge to the visitors.
With just a point separating them in the table, Hull City are looking to snap a rough run against a Brentford side that, on paper, arrive as clear favorites.
At Selhurst Park, two inconsistent sides look to rediscover winning form in a match where the model points to goals at both ends.
The model gives Athletic a slight edge (41% chance of victory) over a Getafe side that hasn't scored on the road, in a matchup that's even both in head to head history and in the s...
Chivu's Inter, boasting a near-perfect record, host a Fiorentina side mired at the bottom of the table and deep in a results crisis at the Meazza.
Despite firing 21 shots to the rival's 7 and piling up 2.355 expected goals, Atlante lost to a Galdames strike and a penalty missed by Clar in the 89th minute.
The home side went ahead with a stunning goal from Owen González, missed a crucial penalty with Julián Carranza, and watched Juárez equalize in the 81st minute through Luca Martíne...
With just two points separating them in Liga MX, Pumas host Tigres in a match with no clear favorite, with the model giving the felines a 37% chance of winning, 33% for the univers...
The model projects a tight matchup at Snapdragon Stadium, with a slight edge for the home side despite its run of draws.
Martí Cifuentes' side, winless in five matches, hosts a Charlotte FC team that beat them in their only previous meeting and that the model tabs as a slight favorite in a matchup ex...
With shaky defenses and little firepower up front, Sporting Kansas City hosts an Austin FC side favored by the numbers, in a match the model expects to be high scoring.
The model favors St. Louis City (43%) over Real Salt Lake (30%) in a historically even matchup that projects goals at both ends.
Houston sit fifth in the West but haven't won in five matches, and they'll host a Minnesota side trying to build on its recent uptick in a matchup that looks tighter than the stand...
With just 3 points separating them in the Western Conference, Toyota Stadium hosts a clash between third and fourth where the model favors Dallas with a 46% chance of victory.
The Western Conference's ninth-place side faces the group's top team in a matchup where the model projects goals from both sides and favors the Canadians.
Rayados, seventh with 20 points, host a Guadalajara side sitting second with 23 points in a matchup the model sees as tight, with a 38% chance of a home win, 33% for the visitors, ...
At Subaru Park, the Union arrive with four wins in their last five matches and 56% favoritism against a Revolution side sitting third in the East but lacking consistency.
The home side enters as a slight favorite against a rival that hasn't won in five games, though the head-to-head record clearly favors the New Yorkers.
At Audi Field, the model gives a slight edge to Cincinnati (44%) over D.C. United (32%) in a matchup where both sides arrive inconsistent and the recent head to head favors the vis...
Chicago Fire arrives as the favorite (46%) against an Atlanta United side in need of points, in a match where the model projects plenty of goals and both teams scoring.
Aitor Mañas scored in the 88th minute to secure a 1-1 draw for a vastly superior Alavés side, which had fallen behind to an Adrián Niño goal for Malaga.
Nottingham Forest doubled Ipswich Town's shot count and xG, but a 1-1 draw with goals from Williams and Enciso left both clubs in the lower reaches of the Premier League.
Goals from Fitz-Jim, Belghali and Vlasic lifted Torino past Monza despite a dramatic 93rd minute own goal