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GXHWinless Venezia hosts solid Lazio
Bottom-of-the-table Venezia, with four losses to open the season, hosts an unbeaten Lazio side at the Pier Luigi Penzo that the model favors and that also dominates the recent head...
By EnPelotas Staff
News & Analysis
Soccer analysis, tactics and context, every day
Toulouse vs. Le Havre: Battle at the Bottom
Separated by a single point with no wins to start the Ligue 1 season, Toulouse and Le Havre collide at the Stadium, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side.
Lyon hosts unbeaten Rennes in Ligue 1
The hosts, owners of the league's best defense, come in as slight favorites against a Rennes side riding a hot streak, with an evenly split head-to-head record between the two.
Le Mans Chases First Win Against Lorient
Le Mans, winless in four straight matches, hosts a Lorient side favored by the models, in a clash separated by just 2 points in the standings.
Angers Hosts Troyes in a Duel of the Desperate
The 11th and 12th place teams in Ligue 1 meet at Stade Raymond Kopa, with history favoring Angers and no clear favorite on paper.
Serie A
Juventus hosts Atalanta in Serie A Matchday 5
Zhegrova and Scamacca lead the attack in a matchup where neither side wants to fall behind in the standings.
Gimnasia Mendoza vs. Riestra, key duel
The home side, riding a hot streak, is favored against a Riestra squad without a win in its last five matches, in a direct clash for the top of Group A.
Gimnasia favored against a struggling Banfield
The "Lobo" sits third and is looking to jump into the title race against a "Taladro" side with just 8 points that hasn't won in its last five matches.
Deportes
Santa Fe visits Alianza in Liga BetPlay matchday 11
The cardenales look to bounce back after being knocked out by Vasco da Gama and take on an Alianza side riding high on two straight wins.
Liga Premier
JJ Gabriel, United's 15-year-old striker, asks to leave the club
The striker, who scored 23 goals in 23 games for the Under-18s, asked to have his registration cancelled before turning 16, putting half of Europe on high alert.
Lamine Yamal questions Ballon d'Or criteria
The Barcelona winger misses the clarity of the Messi-Cristiano era and says the award now rewards things that shouldn't count.
Alverca hosts a struggling Rio Ave
The model gives Alverca a 51% chance of winning at home against a Rio Ave side that arrives with the worst goal difference in the bottom half.
Stuttgart vs Dortmund: a clash of opposite runs
Unbeaten leaders Dortmund travel to face an inconsistent Stuttgart side in a matchup the model expects to be high scoring and wide open.
Celta hosts Racing hungry for goals
Celta, winless in six league games, hosts an inconsistent Racing side that struggles badly on the road, in a matchup where the statistical model favors the home side.
Forest favored against goalless Coventry
The model gives Forest a 63% chance of victory over a Coventry side that has lost four straight and has yet to score a goal in the Premier League.
Copa Sudamericana
Torque stuns Cienciano, advances in Sudamericana
After losing 2-0 in the first leg, the Uruguayan side routed its opponent at the Centenario, and Marcelo Mendez praised the squad's commitment and the fans' support.
Roma and Inter clash for the Serie A lead
The only two teams with a perfect record in Serie A face off in a tightly matched duel where history favors Inter, though this season's numbers barely tip the scale.
Paris FC hosts a red-hot Strasbourg
Separated by just one point in Ligue 1, both sides arrive in fine form for a clash the numbers suggest will be tightly contested.
Mbappé leaves Nike for On
The Real Madrid forward joins the Swiss brand's soccer venture, which also brings in Thierry Henry as sporting director.
Gil Vicente favored against a shaky Maritimo
Separated by just one point in the standings, Gil Vicente and Maritimo meet in Barcelos in a midtable clash where the model gives a 52% chance of a home win against 19% for a Marit...
Nacional hosts a winless but unbeaten Famalicão
With just a point separating them, Nacional and Famalicão look to snap their slumps in a head-to-head clash to escape the bottom of Liga Portugal.
Athletic-Alavés: derby with no clear favorite
San Mames hosts an evenly matched Basque derby where history favors the home side, but the model gives no outcome better than a 40 percent chance.
Newcastle hosts unbeaten Hull
The model heavily favors Newcastle (73%) against a Hull City side that sits fourth and remains unbeaten in the Premier League.
Everton favored over shaky Ipswich
Moyes' unbeaten side, boosted by a favorable recent head-to-head record, is the clear favorite against an Ipswich Town team that has been leaky at the back.
Liga MX
Millonarios seeks second straight win at home under Gamero
The Bogota club, fourth in the standings, hosts a struggling Chico side on Saturday after the visitors lost a direct relegation battle.
Brighton takes on unbeaten leaders Arsenal
Arsenal arrive unbeaten and with the league's stingiest defense at the American Express Stadium, where Brighton have scored 13 goals in four matchdays, in a game the model sees as ...
Werder Bremen Hosts an Unbeaten Augsburg
The hosts are searching for stability while the visitors arrive unbeaten in a matchup that the numbers say is razor-close, with a 30% draw probability nearly matching both win chan...
Hamburg, scoreless, hosts Köln
Without a point or a goal through three matchdays, Hamburger SV take on 1. FC Köln at home, a side sitting in far more comfortable position, in a matchup EnPelotas' model sees as s...
Unbeaten Freiburg visits a Frankfurt that leads the history
Freiburg arrives as the only unbeaten team in the Bundesliga to a Deutsche Bank Park where Eintracht has never lost to them, in a matchup the models see as close and full of goals.
Winless Gladbach host Mainz as favorites
Having conceded twelve goals in three matches and sitting on zero points in the Bundesliga, Borussia Mönchengladbach look to turn things around against a Mainz side that, according...